(Mains GS 3 : Science and Technology- Developments and their Applications and Effects in Everyday Life.)
Context:
- The crash in the price of cryptocurrencies is a timely reminder to retail investors to stay far away from this highly speculative asset class.
- The popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin has lost over two-thirds of its value since its peak in November last year and has wiped out many retail investors.
Crisis in making:
- The current crash was a long time in the making as Cryptocurrencies were initially touted to be alternatives to fiat currencies.
- Since the supply of a lot of cryptocurrencies is limited by design, investing in them seemed like a good way to protect one’s wealth from inflation fuelled by central banks.
- But as it became obvious that cryptocurrencies have had very little acceptance as money, crypto-enthusiasts began to argue a slightly different case.
Wider market correction:
- Cryptocurrencies were now touted as an independent asset class like gold and silver that could serve as an effective hedge in times of crisis.
- The crash in the crypto market amidst wider market correction has put to rest the argument that crypto, as an asset class, is as good a hedge as precious metals.
- There is little reason to believe that cryptocurrencies possess any intrinsic value that can make them serve the role of widely accepted money or as a legitimate asset class such as precious metals.
Climate of easy monetary policy:
- The acceptability of cryptocurrencies in the wider economy has remained minuscule and there are no signs of their use for purposes other than wild speculation.
- But the only tailwind that has kept cryptocurrencies rallying despite concerns about their fundamental or intrinsic value has been the climate of easy monetary policy adopted by central banks.
- Easy money from central banks fuelled the rise of a get-rich-quick industry that depended on selling to a greater fool.
Unwilling to recognise cryptocurrencies:
- Just as Internet stocks and tulip bulbs were the hallmarks of liquidity-fuelled bubbles in the past, cryptocurrencies are the leading symbol of the current bubble in markets.
- But the biggest threat to their prospects has been an existential one that the Governments and their central banks have been largely unwilling to recognise cryptocurrencies as a legitimate investment asset.
- They are also unlikely to recognise private cryptocurrencies as they infringe on the state’s fiscal and monetary authority.
- Moreover, this hostile attitude is at least partly to blame for the shady nature of the crypto industry at large.
- Retail investors looking for quick market gains have had to plunge into an unregulated space marked by scams and other pitfalls in the absence of a legal environment that can protect investor interests.
Conclusion:
- Regardless of the investment prospects of cryptocurrencies, a proper regulatory framework may help in protecting retail investors, at least from outright scams.